Read the latest entries from my blog "The Germany Guy". To see more of my thoughts and opinions on Germany and the UK, visit my
DIHK survey: Brexit will damage German economy (Fri, 08 Jul 2016)
I’ve just been looking at some interesting results from a survey of over 5,600 German companies conducted by the Association of German Chambers
(DIHK) at the end of June 2016. The results are only available in
German but here are the main points:
27% of those questioned expect their exports to the UK to decrease during the Brexit negotiations. And long-term, around half expect exports to drop. German companies see the biggest risks to trade
with Britain as the increasing number of tariff and non-tariff barriers, political uncertainty and the declining value of the pound.
Based on these results, continued uncertainty and the decreasing value of Sterling, the DIHK have revised their forecasts for export growth to -1.0% for 2016 and -5.0% for 2017 (so a decline). As a
comparison, 2014 saw export growth of 11.1% and 2015 12.8%
German companies in the UK
Although the majority of German companies with a presence in the UK see no change in their circumstances and market development, over a third are considering a decrease in investment and about a
quarter are looking at reducing headcount. The overwhelming majority (over 90%) predict no such adjustments for their German operations.
British companies in Germany
Interestingly, 21% of British companies in Germany who responded to the survey are looking at increasing their investment in Germany and employing more people. A clear sign of the move to a UK/EU entity configuration within corporate groups to help minimise the volatility of Brexit and ensure future access to the single market.
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Here's how British companies can secure future access to the single market (Wed, 29 Jun 2016)
British companies can act now to secure access to the single market in both the medium and long-term. By setting up a subsidiary in Germany, you will be able to access the single market from within
the EU, benefitting from the free trade area and free movement of goods.
Germany has always been a popular target for investment from the UK. Over 800 British companies representing a wide range of industries are already present across the country. They enjoy a stable
economic, legal and administrative framework in which to do business. Furthermore, Germany is an excellent distribution hub to serve other markets within the EU.
Why act now?
The future trading relationship between the UK and EU is not yet certain. By setting up in Germany now, companies can still take advantage of current favourable commercial and legal frameworks.
British companies who plan ahead can minimise their exposure to any possible future volatility and uncertainty by ensuring some operations are conducted from within the EU.
How I can help
Large organisations are already considering splitting their operations into UK and EU entities. SMEs who have up to now sold to EU customers from the UK could also benefit from such an
Whether you are looking at setting up a sales / service office or a warehousing and distribution centre, I can provide;
initial feasibility studies to help you make the right choice
market knowledge on the best places to locate and the incentives available
a strong network of legal, financial and accountancy specialists
on-the-ground support both in the UK and Germany
Find out more about my services here. Alternatively, for a no-obligation discussion about your future plans, please contact me on 020
3239 5168 or email me now.
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Why don’t the Germans follow cricket? (Thu, 06 Aug 2015)
The start the fourth test got my thinking about two of my previous positions – one as Deputy Director General of the German-British Chamber and the other as Marketing Manager for The Lord’s
Taverner’s – cricket’s charity. You may think this was a bit of a career change but I can see parallels between the two environments.
I know that there are many Germans who do indeed like playing and watching cricket. But I am surprised it’s not more popular in Germany, after all, it’s a game that complements the German psyche,
especially when it comes to business. Many of my German friends and work colleagues always argued that they don’t watch as, “The games go on for days and then no one wins.” But I think if they give
cricket a chance, they may even become big fans…
I admit cricket is, relative to other games, very long-term. There are some critical decisions to be made during a game that can win or lose the match – for example, whether to bat or field first, or
when to declare. Furthermore, a test series of five matches can stretch over several weeks so there is time between the matches to review strategy and adapt playing style. The Germans are adept at
planning long-term in business – so the tactics in the game should be easy to relate to. And yes, sometimes after all that effort the match ends in a draw. But isn’t business just like that? Not
everything you do succeeds, sometimes no one wins and you just chalk it all up to experience.
Look closely at cricket and there are aspects that reflect German business culture. Firstly, it is a team game where everyone is a specialist. Of course, there are all-rounders, but most cricketers
train to be expert bowlers or batters. Excelling in a particular role is synonymous with highly-motivated, highly-skilled Germans. Furthermore, although very traditional – the MCC was formed in 1787
– cricket has embraced new technology. The first test match with a third umpire (an umpire off the field who uses TV replays to assist in decisions) was played back in 1992.
A long-term plan, executed by a team of specialists, in a traditional atmosphere using cutting-edge technology. Doesn’t that sound like the business model of German industry?
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